A fresh spell of rainfall is expected in the country from July 29 to August 5, the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) said on Tuesday as several parts of the country reeled from a preceding spell and subsequent flooding.

“Monsoon currents from the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal are likely to penetrate upper and central parts of the country from July 29,” the Met Office said in its forecast, adding that a westerly wave currently affecting northern areas would likely strengthen from August 1 and affect most of the upper and central parts of the country.

PMD warned that heavy rainfall may cause urban flooding in low-lying areas of Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Peshawar, Nowshera, Gujranwala, Gujrat, Sialkot, Lahore, Multan and Faisalabad from July 30 to August 4.

It also warned of landslides in KP, particularly in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Buner, Battagram, Mansehra, Haripur and Abbottabad, as well as in GB, Murree, Galliyat and AJK from July 30 to August 5.

According to the advisory, heavy rainfall may also produce flash floods in “local streams/nullahs of Kashmir, Murree, Galliyat, northeastern Punjab, Islamabad, KP, GB, hill torrents of DG Khan and northeastern parts of Balochistan during the forecast period”.

It advised tourists to exercise caution during the forecast period.

The region-wise forecast issued by the PMD is as follows:

Azad Kashmir

According to the forecast, rainfall accompanied by wind or thundershowers is expected in Azad Jammu and Kashmir’s (AJK) Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur from the night of July 28 to August 5 with occasional gaps.

Punjab

In Punjab, scattered heavy to very heavy showers are expected in Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Sialkot, Narowal, Lahore, Okara, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Nankana Sahib, Faisalabad, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Chiniot, Khushab, Mianwali, Layyah, Bhakkar, Noorpurthal, Sargodha, Sahiwal and Pakpattan from July 29 to August 4 with occasional gaps, the Met Office said.

It added that in Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Rahim Yar Khan, Khanpur, Multan, Vehari, Khanewal, Lodhran, Muzaffargarh, Kot Addu, Dera Ghazi Khan and Rajanpur, thundershowers with scattered heavy showers are expected from July 31 to August 3 with occasional gaps.

KP

In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, rainfall with wind and thundershowers is expected in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Malakand, Nowshera, Charsadda, Karak, Tank, Lakki Marwat, Swabi, Shangla, Battagram, Buner, Kohat, Kurram, DI Khan, Bannu, Waziristan, Bajaur, Mohmand, Khyber, Orakzai, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Peshawar, Mardan, Hangu from July 29 to August 5 with occasional gaps, according to the forecast.

GB

For Gilgit-Baltistan, the Met Office predicted rainfall and thunderstorms with moderate to heavy falls in Diamer, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, and Shigar from the evening or night of July 28 to August 6 with occasional gaps.

Sindh

In Sindh, rain and thundershowers with isolated moderate to heavy falls are expected in Karachi, Hyderabad, Tharparkar, Umer Kot, Mirpur Khas, Badin, Sanghar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Tando Allahyar, Matiari, Jamshoro, Shaheed Benazirabad, Ghotki, Kashmore, Jacobabad, Shikarpur, Sukkur, Qambar Shahdadkot, Larkana, Khairpur, Naushahro Feroze and Thatta districts from the evening of July 31 to August 2 with occasional gaps.

In Sindh, PMD warned of urban flooding in Nawabshah, Sukkur, Shaheed Benazirabad, Hyderabad, Thatta, Badin, Sanghar, Khairpur, Mithi, Mirpurkhas, Umerkot, Tando Muhammad Khan, Tando Allahyar from July 31 to August 2.

Balochistan

The Met Office further forecast rain-wind/thundershowers (with isolated heavy falls) in eastern/ southern parts of Balochistan including Zhob, Sherani, Loralai, Kohlu, Sibbi, Kalat, Naseerabad, Jhal Magsi, Jaffarabad, Barkhan, Dera Bugti and Khuzdar, Lasbela, Awaran, Turbat, Kech, Panjgur, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar from July 31 to August 3 with occasional gaps.

Meanwhile, PMD’s Flood Forecasting Division in its daily outlook said that the Indus River at Kalabagh, Taunsa, and Guddu and the Ravi River at Balloki and Sidhnai continued to be in a low-flood situation.

It said that Indus at Guddu will attain medium-flood level in the next 24 hours, while a low-flood is expected to persist at Sukkur during the next 48 hours, after which it will attain medium-flood level.

Starting from June 25, 109 people have lost their lives in the monsoon season, and 360 have been injured, according to the latest estimate issued by NDMA, with the highest number of casualties in KP at 55, followed by Punjab at 36, eight in Balochistan, seven in AJK, two in Sindh and one casualty in GB.

Monsoon profile focused on country’s north: NDMA

Earlier in the day, in a televised briefing, an NDMA official informed federal ministers that eastern Punjab and northern regions of the country are set to experience rainfall in the first ten days of August and predicted a monsoon profile focused on the country’s north.

Cabinet members, including Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, Information Minister Ataullah Tarar, Climate Change Minister Musadik Malik, Water Resources Minister Mian Muhammad Mueen Wattoo and Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal, were informed of the monsoon outlook.

An NDMA official, addressing the ministers, said, “The overall monsoon profile is still focused on the northern region of Pakistan, and intensity will be more pronounced towards the northern region in comparison to southern Pakistan.”

He noted that south and central Balochistan had not received any rainfall, and neither had any strong weather system impacted Sindh, noting a “regional contrast” in the weather system.

“The overall monsoon profile is still focused on the northern region of Pakistan,” he said, predicting that “in the first ten days of August, we would have rain activity particularly in eastern Punjab, northern regions of Pakistan, including KP, GB and AJK”.

Speaking at the briefing, the ministers stressed a “whole of government approach” towards monsoon preparedness.

The planning minister addressing the briefing said, “We cannot stop floods or high temperatures, but we can take measures to protect lives, and this is why we have been focusing on strengthening our preparedness”.

Recalling the 2025 floods, the minister noted that “despite the scale of the flood, not many lives were lost,” attributing it to “timely” rescue and relief activities.

He added that the government was taking steps to monitor glacial melt and was working with China on agricultural research aimed at “producing weather-resistant varieties of crops” to ensure food security.

“With this whole of government approach, we are trying to minimise losses,” he added.

Aurangzeb, speaking at the occasion, said that Pakistan had allocated $700 million annually to climate change for the next ten years under a country partnership framework (CPF) with the World Bank (WB), calling for “investable, bankable projects”.

In 2025, the WB had pledged to provide $20 billion to Pakistan under its country partnership framework (CPF) to support inclusive and sustainable development within the country.

Recalling the ten-year partnership framework, the finance czar outlined two key priorities within the programme — climate change and population.

“It is a programme of $2bn per year for the next ten years, which means for climate-related interventions, we have $700m available every single year,” he said, urging the need for “investable, bankable projects”.

“We have the funds available; now let’s utilise them properly,” he added.

The information minister also lauded NDMA’s response and reiterated the need for a “whole of government approach”. He also commended the media for its role in building awareness and vowed that the information ministry will “continue to play its part”.